From a betting point of view, it is unfortunate that the field has been reduced to seven runners. Cape Tribulation has some good course form and looked to be a good each-way bet at around 7/1 earlier in the week, when three places were on offer.
Unioniste has a similar profile to last year’s winner from the same stable Silviniaco Conti. He gets weight from Long Run but his chance perhaps revolves around your reading of his fourth place in RSA Chase at Cheltenham. Was it a creditable performance against older horses or a race which showed his place against horses in Class 1 company?
Benefficient has the advantage of a preparatory run at Listowel and of having Tony McCoy in the saddle but he has only once raced at three miles or further. On that occasion (over three miles at Newbury) he was beaten by Harry Topper.
At the prices, the selection is CAPE TRIBULATION (13/2). It could just be that Long Run will not be at his best first time out. At this stage of the season I don’t want to be taking a price of 6/5 to find out.
